In what year will a conscious computer be built?
➕
Plus
8
Ṁ326
2100
11%
2025-2029
15%
2030-2039
21%
2040-2049
16%
2050-2074
19%
2075-2099
18%
Never

Resolution Criteria

This question will resolve to Yes if a formal declaration is publicly released by a group of experts, stating that computers should be considered to possess consciousness.

Each of these criteria must be met:

  1. The declaration must be an official, publicly released document by a reputable institution or published in a peer reviewed science journal.

  2. The declaration must be signed by at least 10 experts.

  3. Each signatory must hold a PhD from an accredited university and in a relevant field (e.g., neuroscience, cognitive science, artificial intelligence, philosophy of mind).

  4. Each signatory must hold a faculty or research position at an accredited university or major research institution or reputable company.

Fine Print:

If the resolution criteria are unsatisfied by Jan 1, 2100 the market resolves to “Never.”

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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