China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2026
8
Ṁ2202026
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See prior market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
AI safety community successfully advocates for a global AI development slowdown by December 2027
20% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2025
6% chance
China will submit to voluntary caps on compute used in AI training runs by end of 2030
16% chance
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
15% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Limits on AI model size by 2026?
15% chance
Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?
11% chance
Will a machine learning training run exceed 10^26 FLOP in China before 2026?
52% chance
10GW AI training run before 2029?
43% chance
100GW AI training run before 2031?
37% chance