Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Metaculus by the end of 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ33Jan 1
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll look at the google trend search volume of "Manifold Markets" and "Metaculus" over Dec 2024 and visually decide if Manifold Markets have more search volume than Metaculus
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=manifold%20markets,metaculus&hl=en
Resolves Yes if Manifold Markets has higher google search volume than Metaculus over Dec 2024.
*If someone in the comment session came up with a more rigorous method of determining which term has a higher search volume, I will like use that method for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?
18% chance
Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Polymarket by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
77% chance
Which Manifold User will create the most markets in 2024?
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
68% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
84% chance
Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Kalshi by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
99% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
59% chance
Will Manifold have more followers on X than Polymarket before the end of 2024?
1% chance