Will these Google/Microsoft Products will rebrand/deprecated/discontinued (In 2039 or less)?
Will these Google/Microsoft Products will rebrand/deprecated/discontinued (In 2039 or less)?
Basic
4
Ṁ1352039
69%
Google Fi Wireless
50%
Fuchsia OS
50%
ChromeBook
50%
Gemini
50%
Copilot
50%
Google TV
50%
Google Pay
50%
Google Slides
50%
Xbox
50%
Microsoft PowerPoint
50%
Microsoft Paint
32%
Windows
32%
Android
32%
Google Maps
32%
Microsoft Word
32%
Google Sheets
32%
Google Docs
32%
Microsoft Excel
27%
Xbox Game Pass
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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