Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who officially wins the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district. The outcome will be determined based on the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State. If no candidate wins the election, the market will resolve as N/A.

Background

California's 22nd State Senate district encompasses parts of eastern Los Angeles County, including cities such as El Monte, West Covina, Covina, Duarte, Baldwin Park, Irwindale, Vincent, Azusa, San Dimas, La Verne, and Pomona, as well as Montclair, Chino, and Ontario in southwestern San Bernardino County. (en.wikipedia.org)

The incumbent, Senator Susan Rubio, a Democrat from Baldwin Park, has represented the district since 2018 and was re-elected in 2022. (en.wikipedia.org) As of July 2025, she has not publicly declared her candidacy for the 2026 election.

In December 2024, reports emerged suggesting that Senator Rubio was linked to a federal investigation into a cannabis-related bribery scheme dating back to her tenure on the Baldwin Park City Council. She has denied any wrongdoing and has not been charged. (latimes.com)

Considerations

As of July 2025, no candidates have officially declared their intention to run for the 2026 election in California's 22nd State Senate district. Potential candidates may announce their campaigns as the election date approaches. Voters should monitor official announcements and news sources for updates on the candidate field.