Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?
Plus
15
Ṁ11852036
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, by the close date, a generative AI can render a video which is indistinguishable to an episode of the TV series "The Joy of Painting".
The episode is indistingushable if I can be shown the episode as well as a random episode from this playlist, and I can't tell which is the AI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?
17% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2035?
84% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?
28% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?
20% chance
Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?
65% chance
Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
53% chance
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
60% chance
In what year will there be an AI capable of passing a high-quality Turing test?
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance