Will there be a generic transformation that zk-ifies a SNARK by end of 2025?
Will there be a generic transformation that zk-ifies a SNARK by end of 2025?
Basic
0
2026
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Part of the reason "ZK" has become somewhat synonomous with "SNARK" in the blockchain community is that essentially all SNARKs that any succinct proof system is already information-theoretically very close to being "ZK". Most SNARKs can be trivially modified to be zero-knowledge by something like "introduce a few redundant random operations somewhere in the circuit being proved". This is not entirely general though.
I recently wrote a blog post partially about this. What I am interested in is a generic transformation that takes a black-box SNARK and zk-ifies it without introducing any additional cryptographic assumptions. The problem might not be very well-defined but feel free to ask questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
In 2026 will people still be using the term "zk-SNARK" for uses that don't require zero knowledge?
59% chance
Will GitHub Continuous Integration accept SNARKs by 2028?
10% chance
"The Verge": Fully SNARKed Ethereum by 2027-02-06?
47% chance
Will "zkSync" be widely considered to be a scam by 2030?
10% chance
Will action transformer models be used to create a sophisticated computer trojan by end of 2024?
17% chance