If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency? | Manifold

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

Plus

20

Ṁ1703

2029

71%

Josh Shapiro

62%

Mark Cuban

57%

Dwayne Johnson

54%

Jon Stewart

48%

Tim Walz

48%

Pete Buttigieg

48%

Gretchen Whitmer

47%

Raphael Warnock

45%

Cory Booker

45%

Stacey Abrams

45%

Beto O'Rourke

45%

Michelle Obama

40%

Andrew Yang

40%

Chuck Schumer

40%

Hakeem Jeffries

39%

Gavin Newsom

37%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

34%

Andrew Cuomo

34%

Stephen A. Smith

22%

Sam Altman

Once a nominee is chosen at the Democratic convention, all non-nominees will resolve N/A, leaving only the nominee.

Then this market will convert to "Will NOMINEE win the 2028 presidential election?"

I reserve the right to remove or modify duplicates or joke answers.

Base rate:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Democratic Party

#2028 US Presidential Election

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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