Japan will build a lunar rover for the Artemis moon missions. It will be pressurized and be capable of both crewed and uncrewed operation.
In what year will it land on the Moon?
If Japan takes an iterative hardware approach, this market will resolve to the year that the first hardware that is claimed to be ready for crewed use lands.
Only a sucessful landing with operable hardware counts. That is, it should pass enough health checks that Artemis planners OK having crew rendezvous and use the rover.
If the rover lands, but needs significant repairs that would affect habitability, then this will market will delay resolution until those repairs are effected (or a new rover is landed, whichever come first).
More info:
[ArsTechnica](https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/04/japan-will-be-first-among-nasas-partners-to-have-an-astronaut-on-the-moon/)
[Toyota](https://global.toyota/en/mobility/technology/lunarcruiser/)