USA amendment, nuke, big disaster, Kaiju, attack, or financial collapse during 2024
Basic
11
Ṁ211resolved Jan 5
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any of these things happen in the time interval from the title:
A constitutional amendment is passed and adopted
There is an emergency presidential succession. IE vp or someone else suddenly becomes president outside of the normal schedule
A nuclear weapon explodes in the USA of at least 50 kilotons
A disaster strikes killing at least 10k people. Diseases count, quakes, volcanos etc. Manmade and natural
An attack by a terrorist or nation or individual kills at least 3k people in the usa
$collapse means the inflation rate is greater than 100% annualized for at least a month
A Kaiju attacks US territory resulting in at least 100 deaths. Any new large philysical monster or creature counts if it's "alive" and self-controlled
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2025
24% chance
END TIMES! new amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse by mid 2027
24% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
37% chance
Will any city get nuked before 2040?
22% chance
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
41% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
3% chance
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
17% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
AI doomer terrorism in 2024?
7% chance
Will a MOAB, FOAB, or greater yield bomb be detonated, with at least one casualty, during 2024?
9% chance