Will Scott Alexander release another (50k+ words) fictional work before 2035?
Basic
11
Ṁ5012035
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If a serial work is ongoing at market close, resolves based only on what's been publicly released.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
22% chance
Will Scott Alexander review any book by David Orrell by the end of 2024?
18% chance
📖Will @ScottAlexander write an all-time post (see description) by 2035?
80% chance
Will Scott Alexander be a guest on any podcast whatsoever before 2028?
28% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
47% chance
Will Scott Alexander make a 6+ digit bet related to COVID, by EOY 2024?
8% chance
Will Scott Alexander bang Eliezer before 2025?
1% chance
Will Scott Alexander bang Aella before 2025?
5% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel (book) in 2024?
97% chance
Will Scott Alexander be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance