Will Friedrich Merz still be the leader of CDU at the end of 2024?
Plus
14
Ṁ2509Dec 31
94%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some political observers say that he will have to resign after prospective losses in the elections in Saxony, Thuringia and Brandenburg in September.
Recent polls show Merz’s party at 29% (35% AfD, strongest opposition party) in Saxony and 22% (34% AfD) in Thuringia.
https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/
https://amp.dw.com/en/is-germanys-far-right-afd-a-threat-to-democracy/a-67843885
This question will be resolved as soon as Merz announces his resignation or on 1st of January of 2025 if he holds office to that point.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will CDU party leader Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany after the next election in 2025?
90% chance
Will Hendrik Wüst succeed Friedrich Merz as the leader of the CDU?
37% chance
Will Alice Weidel still lead the AfD at the end of 2024?
84% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
42% chance
Christian Lindner is FDP Chairman on December 31, 2024
88% chance
Will the German CDU be part of a governing coalition with the Afd on the state or federal level before 2025?
2% chance
Who will be the Vice-Chancellor of Germany in the middle of 2025?
Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?
10% chance
Will AfD (Alternative für Deutschland) become the leader of polls in Germany in 2024?
4% chance
What will be the results of the next German federal election?