Will the US be at war with Russia at any point until 2040?
Basic
3
Ṁ202040
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There needs to be armed conflict, so stuff like cold war doesn't count.
US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
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