Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?
Basic
8
Ṁ2352026
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I am counting battery powered electric vehicles only, not plug in hybrids.
Resolves yes if sales of battery powered vehicles make up >50.0% of new vehicle registrations in Japan, Canada, Germany, Italy, USA, UK or France, in any calendar year (i.e 2023, 2024, 2025 or 2026).
Data sources vary by country, I will decide if a source is credible but open to argument.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
65% chance
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
69% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
57% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
60% chance
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
55% chance
Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?
20% chance
What will be the global share of new cars sold that are electric?
What proportion of UK new car sales will be electric (BEV+PHEV) in 2024?
Will low carbon vehicle sales (e.g. electric, hydrogen, PI hybrid) be more than 80% of all car sales in the USA by 2030?
64% chance
Will Norway reach 95% electric vehicle sales in new passenger car before 2026 ?
66% chance