Will there be a robot basketball league before 2070
Will there be a robot basketball league before 2070
Basic
5
Ṁ1522070
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The robots must be bipedal. The league must be serious and not just a joke so it must be at least planning on over five seasons.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will a company be founded that equips humanoid robots with guns before May 2030?
70% chance
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2032?
70% chance
Will robots replace human referees in any major sports league before 2035?
31% chance
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
92% chance
Which league will sell most smart humanoid robots in 2030?
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
93% chance
Will there be more robots than humans by 2100?
81% chance
Will a televised football (soccer) match between two teams of humanoid robots occur before 2030?
54% chance
Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?
10% chance
Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?
33% chance