Conditional on OpenAI releasing an open-source LLM in 2025, will it exceed o3-mini in AIME 2025 score?
11
Ṁ536
Dec 31
65%
chance

o3-mini scored 86.5%

https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/

Will resolve according to the first open-source LLM OpenAI releases in 2025.

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Ṁ1,000
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