Will NHS England's budget be under £100bn in 2030/31?
Will NHS England's budget be under £100bn in 2030/31?
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For the year 2022/23 NHS England's budget is £150bn. The NHS' budget has increased consistently over time at a seeming unsustainable rate. This market resolves positively if the reported annual commissioning budget is under £100bn for the year 2030/31, or NHS England ceases to exist. https://www.england.nhs.uk/publications/business-plan/our-2022-23-business-plan/our-funding/
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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