If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him?
If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him?
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Ṁ1156Mar 20
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Within 60 days of his confirmation.
There needs to be an attributable statement to the PRC government. It is not enough if they quietly remove the sanctions. However, the statement does not need specific wording, as long as it draws attention to the fact the sanctions have been lifted.
I will not bet.
If Rubio is not the next secretary of state, resolves to NA
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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