When will New Glenn launch for the first time?
Basic
22
Ṁ11kDec 31
0.4%
Before August 2024
0.6%
August 2024
0.3%
September 2024
0.2%
October 2024
0.5%
November 2024
35%
December 2024
40%
January 2025
10%
February 2025
5%
March 2025
8%
Launch = the rocket visibly moves or explodes after engine start
I will add (some) 2025 options if Blue Glenn doesn't launch in August. Other will serve for now.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn launch before 2025?
33% chance
What will happen during the first New Glenn launch?
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
67% chance
[ACX 2024] Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?
30% chance
Will New Glenn reach or exceed orbit before Starship?
64% chance
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
75% chance
Will New Glenn be successfully recovered on its first recovery attempt?
31% chance
Will New Glenn launch a commercial payload before Starship?
78% chance