What am I going to do next?
What am I going to do next?
Basic
3
Ṁ3572030
59%
Solve education
9%
Go on Liv Boeree's Win/Win podcast and explain how to kill Moloch by solving the control problem, by solving education.
8%
6%
Start a podcast with livestream forecasting and collective reasoning.
6%
Recieve a grant to create an open-source home school program where parents and kids work collectively to create lessons and earn crypto credentials.
3%
Go on Lex Fridman and explain how to solve the control problem by solving education.
2%
Publish an alignment plan
2%
Travel to a new country
1.7%
Find a new job
What am I going to do next?? In life.
The objective is to look me up, @Krantz (also @therealkrantz on X).
Try to judge my objectives in life.
Offer some life advice on 'What I should try to do next with my life.'.
Best life advice (in the form of an answer) wins.
Resolves when I'm confident the next big decision in my life is to follow the advice of a given user's submission.
Thanks for helping control my future! 😁
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00