Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Plus
14
Ṁ20602031
36%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
33%
Yang-Mills & The Mass Gap
31%
Hodge Conjecture
30%
Riemann Hypothesis
29%
Navier-Stokes Equation
25%
P vs NP Problem
Link about The Millennium Prize Problem:
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Solved✔:
Poincaré conjecture
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
20% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
10% chance
Will an AI System Solve One of the Remaining Millennium Prize Problems by June 2025?
1% chance
Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next?
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
51% chance
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
78% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
55% chance