Background

The Trump administration has recently pursued deportation proceedings against Mahmoud Khalil, a green card holder and Palestinian activist, based on allegations of activities aligned with Hamas, though he has not been charged with a crime. This case has drawn attention because it uses less common legal grounds for deportation under the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) related to national security concerns rather than the more typical grounds such as criminal convictions, fraud, or abandonment of residency.

Government sources have indicated that there are "multiple targets" beyond Khalil who may face similar actions under the INA provision. The administration's approach to immigration enforcement suggests a willingness to use aggressive measures against certain green card holders.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if the Trump administration attempts to deport at least one additional green card holder (beyond Mahmoud Khalil) during Trump's term in office.

For the purposes of this market:

• An "attempted deportation" means the initiation of formal removal proceedings by relevant immigration authorities against a lawful permanent resident (green card holder)

• The attempt must be documented by credible news sources, court filings, or official government statements

• The individual must have been a legal permanent resident (green card holder) at the time proceedings began

• The market will resolve as NO if no additional deportation attempts against green card holders are made during Trump's term

Considerations

Green card holders have more legal protections than non-permanent residents, and deportation attempts typically require specific legal grounds. Any future deportation attempts would likely face legal challenges and require due process, potentially extending the timeline for resolution of such cases beyond the immediate administrative action.