When will the hostages be released by Hamas?
Basic
10
แน331Jan 1
23%
Before the end of March
18%
Before the end of April
14%
Before the end of May
45%
Question will resolve when NYT or WSJ reports that at least two additional hostages were released or exchanged.
Question will also resolve if NYT or WSJ reports ten or more additional hostages hostages were freed or rescued, or if it is reported that all the hostages are believed to be dead except for 10 or fewer hostages.
Let the betting begin!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any of the remaining hostages taken by Hamas on October 7 return home alive before the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Hamas negotiate to release more 10/7 hostages before a permanent ceasefire ?
76% chance
Will Hamas issue an ultimatum threatening to execute a hostage?
22% chance
Will a deal be reached with Hamas for the release of any more of the remaining Israeli hostages by the end of May?
58% chance
How many Palestinian prisoners will Israel release in exchange for Hamas hostages?
If Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire, how many hostages will Hamas release?
How many hostages will be rescued from Gaza/Hamas?
Given that Hamas will execute a hostage and release video of the killing, will at least 1 hostage be a child under 16?
23% chance
Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.
17% chance