Will Republicans pass legislation restricting access to VPNs this year?
Will Republicans pass legislation restricting access to VPNs this year?
Plus
18
Ṁ19402026
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by this post:
https://bsky.app/profile/matthewdgreen.bsky.social/post/3leng7d73g22e
Resolves YES if any state government controlled by a republican trifecta passes legislation attempting to restrict access to VPNs. Also resolves YES if the federal government passes legislation attempting to restrict access to VPNs, as long as the republicans have a federal trifecta when it passes. I will be the final judge of whether or not legislation attempts to restrict access to VPNs; as such, I will not bet on this market.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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