Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
Basic
7
Ṁ1812029
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mount Vesuvius is in an extended period of inactivity, having not erupted since 1944. This market resolves YES if, before 01/01/2030, there is an eruption there of 1 or higher on the Volcanic Explosivity Index
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Phlegraean Fields super volcano erupt by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Lake Kivu erupt before 2030?
15% chance
Will a supervolcano eruption happen by 2100?
8% chance
Will Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
10% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 5 or greater before 2035?
51% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption on or around Santorini before or during 2050?
50% chance
Will Campi Flegrei (GVP #211010) experience a fresh-magma eruption rated ≥ VEI 2 that begins before 1 Jan 2026 UTC?
92% chance
Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
43% chance
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2025?
62% chance
Will I summit Olympus Mons (on Mars) before 2050?
8% chance