When will MKBHD review a product worse than Humane AI pin?
When will MKBHD review a product worse than Humane AI pin?
Basic
4
Ṁ992030
45%
Before 2026
66%
Before 2027
68%
Before 2028
73%
Before 2029
Resolved
NOBefore 2025
On 2024-04-15 Marques Brownlee also known as MKBHD released a review of Humane AI pin, which he entitled The Worst Product I've Ever Reviewed... For Now.
This market will resolve positively as soon as MKBHD releases a new review dedicated to a product that he characterizes as "the worst product that [he] reviewed" or "worse than Humane AI pin" or similar. This statement can appear anywhere in the video, not necessarily in its title.
If he states that it's close and he can't decide whether the new product is worse or better than the AI pin, one or more of the answers will be resolved to 50% until a newer product comes out which turns out definitely worse than the previous ones.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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