Will Syria keep the presidential system?
Basic
3
Ṁ77
2025
76%
chance

This market will resolve YES if Syria maintains a presidential system as its primary form of government by December 31, 2025, determined de jure by the writ of the constitution. A presidential system is defined as one where the head of state (typically, but not always having the title "president") is the head (or a significant authority) of the executive branch and elected separately from the legislative branch. Semi-presidential systems are generically considered as "presidential" for the purposes of this market.

The market will resolve NO if Syria adopts a parliamentary system or remains without a formally established system of government by the resolution date.

Note#1: The transition period may involve temporary governance structures that do not reflect the final system. Considered as final will be the system codified in the ultimately adopted constitution. This market will resolve according to the majority opinion of academic (legal, political science) observers.

Note#2: If Syria descends into a state of civil war, the current regime is forcefully toppled, or the country is otherwise turned into a state of disorder, the market will still resolve according to the lastly adopted system.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules