If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
Plus
24
Ṁ35312026
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the 2024 POTUS election, then this market will resolve the same way as the market linked below. Otherwise, it resolves N/A.
See also: If Biden is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?N/A
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?
11% chance
If Trump is elected U.S. President in 2024, when will the Russia-Ukraine war end?
If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
10% chance
Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?
7% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
23% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
76% chance
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
5% chance
will Russia win the war in Ukraine
60% chance