Will Russia control Kaliningrad on Jan 1st 2031?
Basic
12
Ṁ9462031
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Russia controls Kaliningrad/Königsberg on January 1st 2031.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
71% chance
Will Russia control Grozny on Jan 1st 2033?
69% chance
Will Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
80% chance
Will Russia lose kaliningrad by 2060
35% chance
Will Russia control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2033?
85% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
36% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
35% chance
Will Russia control [annex] Transnistria by the end of 2024?
5% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025?
4% chance