Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if, by the time the market is resolved, the person publicly identified by law enforcement as the shooter is described as a “Palestinian activist” by either:

  • An official source (police/DA/DOJ press release or charging document), or

  • At least two reputable, non-partisan outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC) citing evidence of Palestinian political activism (self-identification, organizational membership/leadership, organizing events, public advocacy) that pre-dates the shooting.

• “Palestinian activist” refers to documented political or social activism related to the Palestinian cause; mere Palestinian nationality/ethnicity or heritage alone does not qualify.

• If multiple shooters are officially identified, resolve YES if any identified shooter meets the above definition.

• Not sufficient: anonymous social media rumors, partisan blogs, or unsourced claims. Later corrections from official sources supersede earlier reporting.

• Suggested verification sources:

  • Local police/DA press releases (official website of the investigating agency)

  • U.S. DOJ press releases: https://www.justice.gov/news

  • Associated Press: https://apnews.com/

  • Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/

  • BBC News: https://www.bbc.com/news

Background

• Media often conflate identity with activism; this market hinges on evidence of activism (statements, affiliations, organizing) rather than ethnicity or nationality.

• Official documents and wire services (AP/Reuters) are preferred because they issue corrections and maintain sourcing standards.

Considerations

• If the shooter is unidentified at market close, resolution should wait until identification and credible sourcing emerge.

• Post-incident claims created after the shooting count only if they reliably document pre-existing activism (e.g., archived posts, prior membership records).

• If credible sources conflict, require either an official statement or two independent reputable outlets in agreement before resolving.