There is a market creators leaderboard included as part of the leaderboards here:

https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

I’m currently in 21st place - one place off the leaderboard but quite a long way off 20th (10,990 vs 12,428).

Where will I finish the year?

Reasons to bet YES:

• I’m still very interested in Manifold, predicting every day

• My main interest on this site is British politics and this is shaping up to be a huge year - I’ll most likely be making markets around the local elections in May, the general election whenever it happens and the post-GE political situation

• I’m also likely to be making markets around American politics and current events as well as sports such as football and F1

Reasons to bet NO:

• I could lose interest and drift away from the site at some point.

• I usually make markets because I want to know how likely something is - I might stop making markets if other people are already making markets before me in the things I’m interested in!

• I’m going to make an effort to avoid some of the lower quality markets I made last year (such as the “will this get x traders” markets I made when I first joined the site) or markets which the Manifold admins aren’t keen on (such as the daily FTSE 100 markets)

• There might be changes in Manifold such as the suggestion that they might hive politics off into a separate site which would either mean that I don’t use Manifold as much or that it’s not as relevant to the way I make markets.

Market notes:

• If this is close, my position at Midday GMT on 31st December will be used to resolve this market

• If the creators leaderboard is removed but it is still possible to see my rank (eg. I can currently see my rank on my markets page), this market will resolve as normal

• If there are changes to the way the leaderboard works which leaves it analogous to the current leaderboards (eg. unranked markets are excluded), I will resolve the market based on legacy leaderboards if they are available way the new leaderboards work or on the new leaderboards if that’s all that is available

• If there are changes to the leaderboards which make them entirely different (eg. Creator leaderboards are based on some other criteria such as market quality) and the old rankings are no longer available, this market will resolve to N/A

• I will trade on this market myself, probably mostly betting YES.

• I promise not to make low quality markets to boost my score. Overall I intend for my markets to be slightly less spammy and higher quality than 2023.