If SCOTUS takes on a case over TikTok in 2024, will they rule in favor of TikTok?
Basic
7
Ṁ1172026
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In all likelihood, this would be a lawsuit over H.R.7521, but any case that is clearly about TikTok would count.
Broad tech-related cases like NetChoice would not qualify.
If a specific lawsuit emerges, I will make more detailed resolution criteria, but broadly a ruling striking down key parts of H.R.7521 would be sufficient for a YES resolution.
If no case is taken on by the end of 2024, this market resolves N/A. The case doesn't need to conclude in 2024, just be taken on.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the TikTok vs The US Government case to stop the TikTok ban?
What will be the status of TikTok in the US on April 1st 2025?
Will SCOTUS take on a case over TikTok in 2024?
9% chance
What will be the status of TikTok in the United States by EOY 2024?
Will the Supreme Court accept a case related to the “TikTok ban” before EOY 2025?
71% chance
What will happen wrt tiktok in the US by EOY?
Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?
18% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?
34% chance