Will a new F-Zero game be released before 2030?
Will a new F-Zero game be released before 2030?
Basic
4
Ṁ127
2030
72%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F-Zero

In 2023, F-Zero 99 was released by Nintendo, breaking an almost 20 year drought without the release of new F-Zero game. But will they release another one anytime soon?

If a new F-Zero game, with "F-Zero" in the title, published and/or developed by Nintendo, is released before 1st January, 2030, in any timezone, this question will resolve YES. Otherwise NO.

Ports/remakes/remasters will not count for the purposes of this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules