Will the United States of America play an official Test cricket match against a country with test status before 2030?
Will the United States of America play an official Test cricket match against a country with test status before 2030?
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2
Ṁ362030
35%
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The teams with Test status conferred by the ICC at the time of market creation are:
Australia
England
South Africa
West Indies
New Zealand
India
Pakistan
Sri Lanka
Zimbabwe
Bangladesh
Ireland
Afghanistan
If the USA plays a Test match against one of these teams, or another team conferred Test status by the ICC at some point where at least the first day of the match begins before 2030 in the timezone where that match is held, this market will resolve YES.
Matches against a country's second team (e.g. the Australia A cricket team) will not count. Matches against women's teams will not count. ODI, T20I, and other formats of cricket will not count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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