Ronen Bar removed as Shin Bet chief before April 30, 2025
Ronen Bar removed as Shin Bet chief before April 30, 2025
7
Ṁ330Apr 30
61%
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This market resolves YES if Ronen Bar is officially removed from his position as head of the Shin Bet (Israel Security Agency) before April 30, 2025. It resolves NO if he remains in his position on or after April 30, 2025.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced his intention to dismiss Bar, but Attorney General Gali Baharav-Miara has stated that Netanyahu "cannot fire the head of the Shin Bet" at this time. The dismissal process is currently on hold pending an investigation.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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