Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?
3
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36%
chance
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1M
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if, on 1 July after the next general election for the Australian Senate, the Australian Labor Party and the Australian Greens hold between them an absolute majority of seats in the Senate.
This market will otherwise resolve NO.
Glossary
For the purpose of this market:
An absolute majority of seats means more than half of the seats in the Senate.
A general election includes half-Senate and double dissolution elections, but excludes special elections such as the one held in Western Australia in 2014.
Further information
As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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