Which organization will most likely build the AI that destroys humanity? (See special resolution method)
Basic
5
Ṁ2452032
This resolves according to the best guess of a superintelligence that doesn't destroy humanity.
Specifically, I'll resolve according to the most probable such organization according to the superintelligence's model of the possible worlds starting from the time this market is created which end in the destruction of humanity by an AI.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
5% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100
12% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?
7% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
12% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance
What organization will first create superintelligence?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance
If an AI wipes out humanity on Earth, what will be true of this AI?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2700?
53% chance