Papal conclave invalidated due to simony before November 2, 2025?
19
Ṁ6880Nov 1
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market predicts whether a papal conclave will be invalidated due to simony before November 2, 2025. Simony, the act of buying or selling ecclesiastical privileges, is strictly prohibited in the Catholic Church. Historical instances, such as the 1492 conclave, have faced allegations of simony. The market resolves to 'Yes' if an official declaration invalidates a conclave for simony by the specified date; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How many papal conclaves will start during 2025?
-
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a schism in the US Catholic Church prior to end of 2025?
10% chance
New Pope named Time's Person of the Year in 2025?
28% chance
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
17% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Pope Francis considered for canonization by 2030?
22% chance
Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
48% chance
Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?
97% chance