After extensive discussions and no consensus among Wikipedians, a 6-month moratorium on move requests for the "Twitter" article was imposed; that moratorium expires March 30, 2025.
This market resolves YES if on December 31, 2026 at 23:59 PST (UTC-8), the English-language Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirects to the "Twitter" article. Otherwise, it will resolve NO. If Wikipedia ceases to exist by the end date, the market resolves N/A.
The redirect change must remain in place for at least 14 consecutive days and not be a temporary change due to vandalism, testing, or technical errors. The market will resolve by January 14, 2027 at the latest, but could resolve at the end of 2026 if qualifying changes occur earlier.
The redirect change could happen in several ways, such as:
"X (social media platform)" becomes its own standalone article
The "Twitter" article is renamed to "X (social media platform)"
"X (social media platform)" redirects to a different article than "Twitter"
The "X (social media platform)" article is deleted
Resolution will be determined by checking the redirect status on Wikipedia directly.
References: