Should dependent markets auto-resolve based on the market they depend on?
Basic
3
Ṁ70
resolved Apr 16
Resolved
N/A
yes
Resolved
N/A
no, but watchers get notified
Resolved
N/A
no

Dependend questions are questions that depend on the answer of other questions:

  • are x and y true? (x and y are dependencies)

  • if x is true, will y be true? (x is a dependency)

If the depend question is a market, and their dependencies are markets, then you have what I call a "dependend market".

These dependend markets could auto-resolve based on their dependencies. Having this could make manifold have more complex markets that save labour on resolution.

Note that not all dependend markets under this feature will auto-resolve. A conditional market for example of the form "assuming x, will y?" auto-resolves to N/A if x resolves to "no", but will not autoresolve if x resolves to "yes", since the creator still needs to assess whether y is true.

The "notify" option I put there, is a softer form of this. Dependend markets don't get auto-resolved, but anyone watching it is reminded that this market could/should resolve now.

This question resolves N/A after a week, I didn't make it a poll so you can express the magnitude of your opinion (and wallet)

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I want to use markets to predict parts of the alignment problem.

Some of those would go "if scaling halts, will research approach x work?"

And then build on top of that "If scaling halts and x works, will we get to a unipolar world?"

I'm not doing this atm since I don't want to have to manually keep track of all these interlinked markets when things start resolving. At least a ping would help

(yes, I can subscribe to the other markets, but I might forget why I was subscribed and then neglect to operate on the ping)

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