[Metaculus] Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
Basic
10
Ṁ4452030
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will US law deem Ethereum a security before Jan 1, 2030?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
The question resolves yes if:
The US Congress passes a law which classifies Ethereum as a security
A federal court decision states that Ethereum is a security
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf. I might resolve this N/A if I find out it's a duplicate of an existing question within three days of market creation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?
44% chance
Will the Supreme court declare that Cryptocurrencies are securities?
57% chance
Will Elizabeth Warren's Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act be enacted / signed into law before Dec 31 2024?
25% chance
Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?
20% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025?
14% chance
Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?
36% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
29% chance
[Metaculus] Will a major cyberattack/malware use LLMs in some important way before January 1st, 2025? [Ṁ1000 subsidy]
5% chance
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?
61% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance