Will the SSSB relationship result in a breakup before 1/1/2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ110Jan 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If you don't know me, this is your average high school cis-het relationship. These two have been together for somewhere in the ballpark of 1-2 months.
This market will resolve yes if they indisputably break up in this time frame. Open relationships and temporary breaks do not count as breakups.
I will resolve this market no later than Jan 31, 2025. I reserve the right to bet no (but not yes) on this market before Dec 1, 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will represent my longest relationship as of Jan 1, 2030?
Will SBF be dead before the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski still be married on 1st Jan 2031?
55% chance
Will anyone get married due to a Manifold marriage proposal by the end of 2026?
52% chance
Will SBF be released by the start of 2045?
65% chance
Will Josh and Lori Shapiro separate in 2024?
10% chance
Will SBF be dead before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?
91% chance
Will SBF be in jail on Jan 1st 2029
88% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2025?
92% chance