Will Intel's stock price be ≥ $20 USD at the end of 2025?
Will Intel's stock price be ≥ $20 USD at the end of 2025?
Basic
7
Ṁ153Dec 31
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) is a leading semiconductor manufacturer currently executing a major turnaround strategy focused on advancing its manufacturing capabilities and regaining technological leadership. The company's stock has historically traded well above $20, with recent analyst forecasts for 2025 generally ranging from $30 to $67.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve based on Intel's stock price at market close (4:00 PM ET) on December 31, 2025. If December 31, 2025 is not a trading day, the last trading day of 2025 will be used instead.
The market will resolve to:
YES if Intel's stock price is greater than or equal to $20.00 USD
NO if Intel's stock price is less than $20.00 USD
N/A if Intel is no longer publicly traded on NASDAQ due to acquisition, bankruptcy, or delisting
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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