Will at least 2 people die in protests in response to Trump's arrest before 2025?
Basic
3
Ṁ195Dec 31
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Their death must be directly caused by the protesting itself, in protests which in large part respond to an arrest or arraignment of Trump. Here are examples:
Would count:
Being killed by police
Falling while actively protesting
Being killed by protesters
Would not count:
Car crash while driving to protest
Having a stroke or heart attack unless it's clear it was caused by protesting
Resolves N/A if Trump is not arrested, NO if he is but there are no protests.
This is a part 2 of /xyz/will-at-least-2-people-die-in-prote
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be killed before 2025?
4% chance
Will at least 10 people self immolate in protest (of something) this year?
12% chance
Will the 2024 college protests result in any fatalities?
22% chance
How many Americans will be killed in post-election civil unrest before January 21st, 2025?
Will Trump be Assassinated Before 2025?
4% chance
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
25% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2024 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
9% chance
If Trump wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
31% chance
Will Donald Trump provoke another deadly riot before January 21st 2025?
20% chance
Will someone die as the direct consequence of a Letzte Generation protest by 2025?
12% chance