Will Republicans win Pennsylvania, Georgia in the 2024 Presidential?
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36
Ṁ13kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
YESPennsylvania (regardless of Georgia)
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YESGeorgia (regardless of Pennsylvania)
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YESPennsylvania and Georgia
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YESPennsylvania or Georgia
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YESPennsylvania given Georgia
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YESGeorgia given Pennsylvania
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N/AGeorgia given not Pennsylvania
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N/APennsylvania given not Georgia
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NOOnly Pennsylvania
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NOOnly Georgia
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NONeither Pennsylvania nor Georgia
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NOExactly one of Pennsylvania or Georgia
This will resolve based on the combination of the two states Pennsylvania and Georgia in which the Republican Party gets a majority of electoral college votes in the 2024 Presidential election. The conditional markets will resolve N/A if the condition is not met.
Note that this collection of markets is highly redundant and arbitrage might easily is possible. I will pay a M$2,000 bounty to the first bot to successfully keep these approximately consistent. If no-one does it in the first week or so, I might try that myself.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Republicans won both, I resolved all the markets I could but would need @mods for the two that would have to resolve N/A. Thanks!
Is "Pennsylvania or Georgia" inclusive or or XOR?