Background

Bitcoin has shown significant volatility throughout its history. As of early 2024, Bitcoin has reached new highs above $70,000, driven by factors including institutional adoption, ETF approvals, and the upcoming halving event. Multiple forecasts from crypto analysts and platforms suggest Bitcoin is likely to continue its upward trajectory through 2025, with predictions ranging from $75,500 to $155,000.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if the price of Bitcoin is $90,000 (±$100) on June 1, 2025 at 12:00 UTC, according to the Coinbase Pro BTC/USD spot price. The market will resolve NO if the price is outside this range.

Considerations

• Most analyst predictions suggest Bitcoin will be significantly higher than $90,000 by June 2025

• Polymarket indicates a 79% probability that Bitcoin will surpass its previous all-time high by June 30, 2025

• The cryptocurrency market is known for its high volatility, and prices can be influenced by various factors including:

  • Regulatory changes

  • Institutional adoption

  • Macroeconomic conditions

  • Technological developments

  • Market sentiment