Will TikTok get banned in the United States?
➕
Plus
71
Ṁ9922
Dec 31
51%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

You need to set a date for this market to close (for example, will TikTok be banned before the end of 2025?), otherwise NO shares are worthless (because the market would never resolve as NO if you just keep extending it

@Aae643 Okay, another attempt. This market will almost certainly be NO as of the market close date, and yet I can't bet NO because you said you might extend the close date. Please extend the market now to a definitive close date -- otherwise it's impossible to bet NO.

@Aae643 please update given this week’s vote and Biden’s signature. Do you resolve YES?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@SusanneinFrance It shouldn't resolve, because if ByteDance sells off TikTok, then it won't be banned. There's no resolution yet.

@Aae643 Like Matty B asked below: This is for 2024, as the close date implies?

@Tsunombie I will extend it if no decision has been made by the end of 2024.

@Aae643 What are the conditions in which this market could resolve NO?

@Tsunombie the government not choosing to ban tiktok and letting it continue as is

@Aae643 But when will you know they aren't going to ban tiktok? Doesn't that need a time limit?

@Aae643 In other words, Congress is probably not going to release a statement saying, "No, we have decided we won't ban TikTok." Or, maybe a bill banning TikTok fails to pass . . . but there could always be another bill. So how and when will you know that the government is not choosing to ban TikTok?

@Aae643 I feel like I'm not getting through here, so let me say it again: This market as written will never resolve NO. It needs to be fixed.

I am praying for TikTok to be banned!

@Aae643 in 2024, right?

@mattyb I will extend if no decision has come up in 2024 this is just general will it get banned

Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules