Manifold thinks that this is the only Sweepstakes market considered "hot" and "random".

are you willing to use a sperm donor or otherwise get pregnant from a man that does not intend to stay with you and raise the child?

How old you are would probably be the biggest piece of info here

@Riley12 Google says 32

Will this only resolve ‘Yes’ if the baby gestates in your own uterus?

Booooo adoption should count

Will you bet on this market?

I don't think Aella having a baby for mana is something we have to worry about

@GazDownright I bet on all my markets by default if I want to, excluding ones that have a correct answer that I already know

@Aella hm, what I'm deducing from this is that once you stop buying in this market, I need to buy a huge YES position 🤔

@Aella hm I think ones that are more private like this you shouldn't bet on, big info disparity. But also traders are making the choice to play knowing you're betting no so idk

@Aella are you comfortable with us making markets like these eligible for sweepstakes? I would guess yes but just wanted to check!

@SirSalty sure!

Betting yes as a manifestation

@TheWabiSabi that really puts the manifest in manifestation