Will there exist a largely risk-free cure for Eye Floaters by the end of 2024?
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14
Ṁ1032
Dec 31
11%
chance

Resolves Yes if by or before the end of 2024, at least one of the following is true:

  • Vitrectomy is considered by either medical consensus or me to be sufficiently low risk to be a routine procedure for individuals with eye floaters, or

  • Vitreolysis is considered by either medical consensus or me to be sufficiently low risk to be a routine procedure for individuals with eye floaters, or

  • There is a sufficiently safe and low-risk alternative to the above two options to be a routine operation for individuals with eye floaters.

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Really need this

Would love to see some other markets for further years

'Largely risk-free' in optimal conditions (eg well-run specialist centre in a good healthcare system) or in average conditions (eg average ophthalmological centre globally)?

@WXTJ Major medical centers in the US. For reference, use Cedars-Sinai, UCLA, Stanford Health Care, UCSF Health.

If the major medical centers all refuse to operate unless you have a very severe case, then this doesn’t count.

Btw I will seriously consider arguments that vitrectomy and/or vitreolysis meet my criteria for largely risk-free. I don’t think this is currently the case, but I haven’t done much research on this.

Voting yes because I need this!

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