Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Basic

9

Ṁ177

2100

35%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 740 Metaculus community forecasters was Feb 14, 2033 on Aug 03, 2023.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

+4% 1d32% chance

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2026?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2031?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules